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NCAA от SHTYR

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Penn State vs Virginia: Free NFL Picks
IN: COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PICKS
8Sep2012
Jason Storm
Free Pick
183-119-1 Overall Record
College Football Predictions: Penn State (+9.5) vs Virginia (-9.5) Over -Under 47
We all know about the horrific off season that Penn State had. It was much more than football. It’s not something I want to discuss. I want to talk about the product on the field. Many of the Penn State players left. It was open season over there for coaches of other programs.  Mike London Coach of Virginia was quoted as saying ” You felt bad for Coach O’Brien. I couldn’t imagine having to deal with that, and keeping the guys loyal, keeping the guys wanting to come to the school… Hes got a tough job”
I don’t think Virginia will feel the same way when they get on the field. Virginia is looking to establish itself as a contender in the ACC. Mike London has re-energized the fan base. Many of Virginia’s recruiting area had become dominated by Virginia Tech. They need to have success on the field, and they certainly cannot lose to an inferior opponent. Based on the 10 point spread, Penn State should be categorized as an inferior opponent.
Virginia has really relied on its defense to be successful. They were 3rd in the ACC in points allowed, but 10th in the ACC in scoring. They are a defensive minded team.UVA only allowed 266 yards last week. Richmond, although a FBS team only managed 1.3 yards per carry. That is dominating numbers. Penn State will be looking to run the ball, and they won’t be able too. Against Ohio, they failed to reach the 100 yard rushing number. I fully expect Virginia to be able to duplicate that feat!
However, there is no way I can take Virginia minus the 10. Virginia has a stable of running backs. Perry Jones is a very talented back. He has speed, can make defenders miss and catch the ball out of the back field. Kevin Parks is the more physical back that can also run well. It’s these guys that will do the scoring for UVA. Virginia is not a passing team, in fact, every time Michael Rocco drops back for UVA you will hold your breath.
Watching film this week, I just wasn’t impressed with Rocco’s balls. When they came out they just aren’t very pretty. It comes out wobbly, and seem inaccurate. It’s only a matter of time before highly touted QB transfer from Alabama takes the starting position. I really just don’t like either teams ability to put up big points. This will be an old school, 2 pro styles of smash mouth football.
Take the Under as both defense shine and the clock always seems to be moving.
Pick: Under 47

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Итог 17:16

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SHTYR написал(а):

Итог 17:16

:cool:
у меня регбийный пресс вчерашний должен тоже заезжать

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Major League Baseball Salaries
2012 MLB Salaries by Team
TEAM TOTAL PAYROLL AVG SALARY MEDIAN STD DEV
New York Yankees $ 197,962,289 $ 6,186,321 $ 1,937,500 $ 7,938,987
Philadelphia Phillies $ 174,538,938 $ 5,817,964 $ 1,875,000 $ 6,833,158
Boston Red Sox $ 173,186,617 $ 5,093,724 $ 1,556,250 $ 6,311,421
Los Angeles Angels $ 154,485,166 $ 5,327,074 $ 3,150,000 $ 6,212,772
Detroit Tigers $ 132,300,000 $ 4,562,068 $ 1,100,000 $ 6,557,916
Texas Rangers $ 120,510,974 $ 4,635,037 $ 3,437,500 $ 4,728,330
Miami Marlins $ 118,078,000 $ 4,373,259 $ 1,500,000 $ 5,228,424
San Francisco Giants $ 117,620,683 $ 3,920,689 $ 1,275,000 $ 5,296,153
St. Louis Cardinals $ 110,300,862 $ 3,939,316 $ 800,000 $ 4,858,527
Milwaukee Brewers $ 97,653,944 $ 3,755,920 $ 1,981,250 $ 3,965,659
Chicago White Sox $ 96,919,500 $ 3,876,780 $ 530,000 $ 4,956,845
Los Angeles Dodgers $ 95,143,575 $ 3,171,452 $ 875,000 $ 3,673,217
Minnesota Twins $ 94,085,000 $ 3,484,629 $ 750,000 $ 5,207,450
New York Mets $ 93,353,983 $ 3,457,554 $ 875,000 $ 5,867,084
Chicago Cubs $ 88,197,033 $ 3,392,193 $ 1,262,500 $ 4,617,206
Atlanta Braves $ 83,309,942 $ 2,776,998 $ 577,500 $ 4,037,723
Cincinnati Reds $ 82,203,616 $ 2,935,843 $ 1,150,000 $ 3,462,247
Seattle Mariners $ 81,978,100 $ 2,927,789 $ 495,150 $ 4,998,379
Baltimore Orioles $ 81,428,999 $ 2,807,896 $ 1,300,000 $ 3,205,445
Washington Nationals $ 81,336,143 $ 2,623,746 $ 800,000 $ 3,618,322
Cleveland Indians $ 78,430,300 $ 2,704,493 $ 800,000 $ 3,661,123
Colorado Rockies $ 78,069,571 $ 2,692,054 $ 482,000 $ 3,272,886
Toronto Blue Jays $ 75,489,200 $ 2,696,042 $ 1,768,750 $ 2,881,414
Arizona Diamondbacks $ 74,284,833 $ 2,653,029 $ 1,625,000 $ 2,587,139
Tampa Bay Rays $ 64,173,500 $ 2,291,910 $ 1,425,000 $ 2,313,395
Pittsburgh Pirates $ 63,431,999 $ 2,187,310 $ 916,666 $ 3,109,669
Kansas City Royals $ 60,916,225 $ 2,030,540 $ 870,000 $ 2,282,159
Houston Astros $ 60,651,000 $ 2,332,730 $ 491,250 $ 4,543,506
Oakland Athletics $ 55,372,500 $ 1,845,750 $ 487,500 $ 2,179,703
San Diego Padres $ 55,244,700 $ 1,973,025 $ 1,207,500 $ 2,049,861

А говорят в мире кризис!

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Major League Baseball Salaries
2012 New York Yankees Salaries
PLAYER SALARY POSITION
Alex Rodriguez $ 30,000,000 Third Baseman
Mark Teixeira $ 23,125,000 First Baseman
CC Sabathia $ 23,000,000 Pitcher
Derek Jeter $ 15,729,364 Shortstop
Mariano Rivera $ 14,940,025 Pitcher
Robinson Cano $ 14,000,000 Second Baseman
Rafael Soriano $ 11,000,000 Pitcher
Nick Swisher $ 10,250,000 Outfielder
Curtis Granderson $ 10,000,000 Outfielder
Hiroki Kuroda $ 10,000,000 Pitcher
Russell Martin $ 7,500,000 Catcher
Freddy Garcia $ 4,000,000 Pitcher
Pedro Feliciano $ 3,750,000 Pitcher
Phil Hughes $ 3,200,000 Pitcher
Brett Gardner $ 2,800,000 Outfielder
Andruw Jones $ 2,000,000 Outfielder
Boone Logan $ 1,875,000 Pitcher
Joba Chamberlain $ 1,675,000 Pitcher
David Robertson $ 1,600,000 Pitcher
Raul Ibanez $ 1,100,000 Designated Hitter
Eric Chavez $ 900,000 Infielder
Michael Pineda $ 528,475 Pitcher
Ivan Nova $ 527,200 Pitcher
Clay Rapada $ 525,000 Pitcher
Eduardo Nunez $ 523,800 Shortstop
Cory Wade $ 508,925 Pitcher
David Aardsma $ 500,000 Pitcher
Chris Stewart $ 482,500 Catcher
Austin Romine $ 482,000 Catcher
Cesar Cabral $ 480,000 Pitcher
Brad Meyers $ 480,000 Pitcher

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Washington Nationals vs New York Mets: Free MLB Picks
IN: MLB FREE PICKS
11Sep2012
Jason Storm
Free Pick
184-119-1 Overall Record
MLB Predictions: Washington Nationals (-105) vs New York Mets (-105) Over -Under 7
Tonight’s matchup  faces two teams going to different places at the end of the season.  The Nationals are flying high with the best record in all of baseball.  The Mets are taking a look at their minor league system to see if any of their talent is ready to make the jump for next season.  Perhaps the turn of the season for the both teams could be the 10th inning of their July 17th meeting.  Having been 46-39 on July 7th, the Mets entered the 2nd half of the season by getting swept by the Braves.  In their fourth game of the second half, the Mets owned a 4-3 lead in the 10th.  Rookie, Bryce Harper, would tie the game with a triple.  Following loading the bases, the Nats would win on a wild pitch.  The loss would propel the Mets to lose 9 of their next 11, and they never were able to recover since.  The Nats had looked good in the first half, but most looked for them to start to falter when the second half began.  Instead, Washington would win 9 of their next 13, including a win by Tonight’s starter, Jordan Zimmerman in their very next game against the Mets.  The Nationals would soon find themselves 20 games above .500.
Could the momentum of a win saved the Mets season?  Who knows!  One thing is certain, it has allowed the Nationals to go on to dominate the season series with the Mets.  The Nats are 36-25 against the NL East,  and they have the Mets to thank for that.  If you take away the 16 games these two teams have played this season, the Nats would only be 24-21 against the division.   To say the Nats have owned the Mets this season would be understated as they have won 12 of 16 against their division foe.
SKip to tonight’s matchup.  The last time R.A. Dickey faced the Nationals, his 11 game winning streak was snapped.  However, he had struggled in July with a 5.14 ERA and had been fortunate to not lose prior to then.  He will look to continue his recent return to form as he had 7 quality starts in his last 8 outings.  Jordan Zimmerman on the other hand has had a suspect August with a 4.39 ERA, and even with a solid performance against the Cubs his September ERA is 8.44.  He has looked like a pitcher with a tired arm that has pitched a career high 171.2 innings this season.  His only quality starts in his last 7 outings have been against the Cubs and Astros, the two weakest offenses in the National League.
The Nationals do well at working the count against opposing pitchers.  Jason Werth would rank second in the league in pitcher per plate appearance if he qualified for hitting statistics.  It’s no accident that he has a .440 avg in 25 career at-bats against Dickey.  The key against the knuckleball is patience.  Look for the Nats to continue on their recent success in July against Dickey.  Jason Bay, Daniel Murphy, Josh Thole, and David Wright all own batting averages of .300 or better against Zimmerman.  Look for a tired arm to give up a few against the Mets.  I’m certainly not calling for an offensive explosion, but at 7 runs, this total is too low.  Take the Over in tonight’s meeting.
Pick Over 7

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SHTYR написал(а):

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets: Free MLB Picks

победу тоже можно вашиков за 1.95 в БС попробовать

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Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies: Free MLB Picks
IN: MLB FREE PICKS
12Sep2012
Jason Storm
Free Pick
184-120-1 Overall Record
MLB Predictions: Miami Marlins (+145) vs Philadelphia Philles (-155) Over -Under 7
When the night ended on August 22nd, the Philadelphia Phillies sat 10 1/2 games out of the 2nd wild card spot. They were tied with the Mets and just one game ahead of the Marlins as they entered the final game of a four game series with the Reds on August 23rd .  Down 3-0 in the 6th, they fought back to win 4-3 in 11 innings.  That win evened the 4 game series with the Reds and showed that the Phillies had the pieces to compete against the best teams in baseball.   With a 14-4 stretch in their last 18 games, and one of the preaseason favorites for the NL Pennant, the Phillies sit just 4 games back of the Cardinals.  What’s amazing is they have won despite the trades they made before the deadline.    With 20 games left to play, it will take a similar effort to clinch a Wild Card spot.  Pitching has largely been the reason for their swing as they have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 13 of their last 18 games.  Oddly enough, it might be the Brewers that could be the biggest threat to their playoff chances as both teams have been hot while the Dodgers, Pirates, and Cardinals have played poorly.
As mentioned, the Miami Marlins were just one game behind the Phillies on August 22nd.  Now, they sit a full 8.5 games back.  Having dropped a doubleheader with the Diamondbacks on the 22nd, the Marlins are 6-13.  Other than their series against the Nationals, they have showed very little fight.  As I wrote last week this is a team that many considered as a sleeper to win the NL East with the addition of Mark Buehrle and a healthy Josh Johnson and the excitement of a new stadium.  They enter tonight’s matchup 31-43 on the road, and they have lost 12 of their last 15 in Philadelphia.  All the numbers for today point to a series sweep for the Phillies.
Josh Johnson went a solid 7 innings in his last outing against the Brewers, allowing just 2 runs.  However, that game was in Miami, where he has had an ERA of 2.87 this season.  On the road, he has struggled mightily with a 2-6 record and a 5.22 ERA in 69 innings of work.  In his last road game he allowed 6 runs in 3 innings against the Dodgers.  He struggled similarly in his last start in Philly as he allowed 6 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings.
Cliff Lee has been solid in his last three starts, going 2-0 with a 1.33 ERA.  He has fared well in day games with a 3.14 ERA in 66 innings pitched.  The 34 year-old lefty lives for September with a 2.84 ERA over his last three Septembers.  He struggled in his last start against the Marlins, but that was in a June that saw him pitch to a 6.12 ERA.  Look for the veteran to be focused and sharp today against the Marlins especially with the game on a Wednesday.  For reason’s beyond understanding, the Phillies are 42-18 on Wednesday over their last 60 and an amazing 11-4 in Lee’s 15 starts on Wednesday.  Look for the Phillies to continue their winning ways today.  The Phillies will Win!
Pick: Phillies -155

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Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins: FREE MLB Picks
IN: MLB FREE PICKS|UNCATEGORIZED
13Sep2012
Jason Storm
Free Pick
185-120-1 Overall Record
MLB Predictions: Kansas City Royals (-105) vs Minnesota Twins (-105) Over -Under 9
I seriously love this time of year.  I know it’s not sexy,  but in years past I’ve made some serious cash in these type of games.  Sexy, is having a nice wad of cash following an easy victory.  All the money is piling in for the Bears and Packers tonight. Yet tThe final push for the  MLB playoffs is here.  Enter the 65-77 Kansas City Royals and the 59-84 Minnesota Twins.  Talk about a game that Vegas is sleeping on!
Last night’s box score reads like a mix of MLB journeyman with minor leaguers as the Twins guided by  P. J Waters and his 6.70 ERA lost against Luke Hochever, who improved to 8-13 on the season (sarcasm intended).  Missed in the score were a few things to note, including Casey Fien allowing just his 5th earned run in 28 innings pitched.  Talk about an unheralded reliever.  Billy Butler drove in three runs as he makes a push for 100 RBIs for the first time in his career.
All mocking aside, the Royals have looked good as of late going 24-17 in their last 41, most aren’t aware that they have played only two games below .500 in the second half.  I realize these aren’t mind shattering numbers, but compared to the Twins…  The Royals have a chance to win 5 out of 6 on their latest road trip. Taking two of three from the White Sox, and the first two in the series with the Twins.  Starting tonight will be Luis Mendoza .  The Royals give Mendoza good run support, scoring 22 runs in his last three starts, and they have won 5 of his last 6 starts as well as 6 of his last 8.   He has fared well against the Twins this season with a 2-1 record and an ERA under 3.  Mendoza is a much better starter on the road, allowing more than 1/2 a run less.
There really is no reason for the Royals not to be favored in this game.  Caesar’s is the only book to have them as a slight favorite at -115.  Ok, there is one reason, the Royals were 8-20 in their last 28 games at Minnesota, and 20-41 overall, but this isn’t your father’s Minnesota Twins.  Kansas City truly is playing decent baseball as they look to build towards next year by finishing their season strong.
The Twins on the other hand are 24-34 during the second half of the season, and 10-23 over their last 33 ballgames.  Throwing for the Twins will be Liam Hendricks.  Hendricks enters the game 0-7, and the Twins are 3-9 in games he has started.  Earlier this month he allowed 5 runs in 3 2/3 innings against the Royals.  There’s no reason to not expect more of the same.  To make matters worse, Joe Mauer will most likely sit out again with back spasms.   The value and the play for tonight should be on the Royals. Enjoy watching KC earn the sweep while the rest of the nation watches elsewhere tonight.
Pick: Royals -105

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Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons: Free NFL Picks
IN: NFL FREE PICKS
17Sep2012
Jason Storm
Free Pick
185-121-1 Overall Record
NFL Predictions:Denver Broncos (+3) vs Atlanta Falcons (-3) Over -Under 52
Talk about a nice night for some football!  It should be 70 degrees for tonight’s Broncos vs. Falcons game.  The fans and players should be able to enjoy a really nice evening of weather.  Oh wait!  We get to play this one in a dome.  Instead fans will get to see the Falcons attempt to extend some Atlanta sport mojo from the Braves sweep of the Nationals this weekend.  One of the biggest matchups tonight may be the defenses ability to play against offenses that go no-huddle.  Both defenses should be prepared as they see the no-huddle constantly in practice.  The last time these two teams played was in 2008 when Matt Ryan was a rookie, and Peyton Manning, well we all know where he was.
The Broncos come in riding high following an opening victory against the Pittsburgh Steelers.  Many pundits now are billing the Broncos as AFC Championship contenders.  With Peyton Manning, in his first game as the Broncos starter, Denver was able to score 31 points on last season’s #1 NFL Defense. The Broncos were effecient in thier passing game with Manning going 19/26 for 253 yards.  Still, it was a closing minute interception returned for a touchdown made a game that was close look like a sizeable Broncos win.  The Boncos were able to establish a decent rushing attack (94 yards on 27 carries) against a defense annually in the top echelons of rush defenses in the NFL.   They will need to do so against last season’s 6th ranked, rushing defense.  In their first game of the season they did well of protecting Manning from tough hits.  They will need to continue to do so this week, and the rest of the season.
The Falcons dominated the Kansas City Chiefs in KC by forcing three turnovers, including two Matt Cassel interceptions.  In fact, a last second touchdown made a 40-17 score look closer at 40-24.  Make no mistake, the game wasn’t even close after a 20-17 first half score.  WIth Julio Jones, Roddy White and Tony Gonzales on the field, the Falcons have one of the toughest skill sets to matchup against in the NFL.  One of the keys will be their ability to put pressure on Matt Ryan and stop their passing offense. However, the Broncos struggle against quality tight ends (see Gronkowski’s game in the playoffs last season). Last week the Broncos pressured the Steelers by sacking the QB five times.  However, the Steelers had one of the worst sack records in the NFL last season (although Ben Roethlisberger does hold on to the ball longer than any NFL QB).   The Falcons do well of protecting Matt Ryan, as they allowed barely more than one a game last season (26) and only allowed one last week.  While the Broncos D isn’t awful, I don’t see them stopping the Falcons offense tonight.
For the Falcons D much has been made about the loss of Brent Grimes for the year and how it will allow Manning to take advantage of the Falcons passing defense. However, this isn’t Grimes first game missed, and the Falcons went 3-1 ATS without him in the lineup last year. Cornerbacks Asante Samuel and Dunta Robinson are still healthy, and whomever starts at the 3rd corner position the Falcons should be able to help from their safety. Besides, who stops Manning other than a bad neck?   Demaryius Thomas looks legit, but it’s much easier to catch a pass a home, and not on the road against a lod crowd.  I still see the Broncos moving the ball tonight, but I think a couple costly dropped passes and missed routes will lead to a couple drives prematurely stopping.
Finally, this line is too low.  Originally, I had it at -5.5.  Vegas anticipated love for the Broncos though with Manning at the helm, and seem to have the line locked near a 50/50 opinion split.  Look for the better overall team to win tonight in what should be a fun matchup.  Take the Falcons in a home victory.
Pick: Falcons -3

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Jason Storm
Free Pick
186-121-1 Overall Record
College Football Predictions: BYU (+6.5) vs Boise St (-6.5) Over Under 49
In tonight’s game, the BYU Cougars and Boise State Broncos meet in a pivotal Mountain West Conference matchup.  This is the meetin the Broncos looked forward to when they joined the Mountain West.  In the first battle between these two, Boise State will look to seize conference control.
I imagine that’s how a decent write-up would have gone.  As we all know, the continual musical chair known as BCS Conference alignment makes this game seemingly meaningless. With Boise State off to the Big East next season, the only meaning in this game is recruiting chances moving forward as both teams fight for local West Coast recruits.  Boise State can’t be blamed for their brief stint in the MWC. THe Mountain West they joined included TCU, BYU, and Utah and looked to be a conference to battle the Pac-12 (Pac-10 at the time) in Western supremacy.  However, Utah bolted for a chance at an automatic BCS Pac-12 bid, and the rest is history.  The only other edge, other than the joy of playing college football, is that this matchup is the first of 12 future games in hopes of building a rivalry.
BYU comes in suffering a heartbreak loss in which refs and Utah fans tried to give them a victory over the Utah Utes.   If you missed it, fans stormed the field on three separate occassions before the 24-21 score was final.  In what would have been one of the most talked about games in history had BYU come back to win, ended more with laugher and oddity than actual consequence.  Boise State comes in as a team struggling to fnd it’s identity following the loss of key seniors from last years team.  Their offense looked awful for six quarters in their opening meeting against Michigan State and the first two quarters against comparitively, lowly Miami (OH).  They woke up to win a laugher, but certainly did not impress in doing so.
This isn’t the same Broncos offense that put up points at a clip of 44.2 PPG last season.  This isn’t the same team that passed the ball for over 300 YPG and a seldom mentioned 171.9 YPG rushing last season.  No, this is a team struggling with a new QB, Joe Southwick, who completed less than 50% of his passes against Michigan State in a 17-13 loss, and a passing offense that has only averaged 239 YPG.  It’s also a team that only led 15-9  against a Miami (OH) team that was pounded by Ohio State 52-10. While the Broncos did well in the 2nd half against Miami (OH) they have looked lost against defenses playing well. Boise State will face a BYU team that has had good defenses under head coach Bronco Mendenhall.  Last season they allowed just 317.2 YPG, good enough for 15th in FBS.  BYU hasn’t faced any powerful offenses, but still, the Cougars have only allowed 241 YPG and 14.3 PPG this season.    Look for BYU to hold the Broncos under 21 points.
BYU enters tonights matchup led by Quarterback, Riley Nelson, who has completed 60% of his passes, and who has done well to elude pressure this year.  While the Cougars only average 151.3 YPG rushing, Boise State allowed 210 yards rushing to  Le’Veon Bell in their loss to Michigan State.  In Bell’s two games since, he has rushed for less yards combined, including almost one yard less per carry against Central Michigan.  Look for BYU to take advantage of a weak Boise State rushing D.  This also will be the first offense that Boise State has faced that can move the ball well.  Statistically I have the Cougars scoring 27 tonight.  While, this could potentially be a let down game for BYU, given their short week following a tough loss, the players and coaches by latest report are focused, and ready to win a game that means much more to their program currently than Boise State.
As you notice, I have the score 27-21 in advantage for BYU.   This is without capping the home field.  Honestly, Vegas knows that in a neutral field, BYU is the team to win here.  Everyone knows of the blue turf and the seemingly home field advantage the Broncos enjoy.  However, closer examination shows that they are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 at hom.  BYU on the other hand has played well on the road since becoming an independant, going 4-1 ATS in their last 5.  Look for BYU to pull off the upset in a score closer than what I have handicapped, but nevertheless in favor of the Cougars.  Take the points tonight with BYU!
Pick: BYU +6.5

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272

Jason Storm
Free Pick
188-121-1 Overall Record
College Football Predictions: Baylor (+11) vs West Virgnia (-11) Over Under 83.5
West Virginia makes its first appearance in the Big 12 Conference and looks to get off on the right foot when they host the Baylor Bears.  This matinee should be the most offensive game today.  The over/under at 83.5, is a full 9.5 points higher than the next highest total which should be an Oregon Duck route of Mike Leach’s Washington State Cougars. Today’s battle is a key meeting as West Virginia looks to live up to its early season ranking and it attempts to send a message to the rest of the Big 12.  Baylor on the other hand looks to show that, as their early season form has shown, they aren’t rebuilding following the loss of RGIII.  Both teams enter with 3-0 records, albeit against below average opponents.   When these teams look at each other, it might look like they are staring into a mirror.  The story of the game will be two offenses that can’t be stopped with two defenses that have struggled to stop anyone.   Baylor enters the Big-12 meeting averaging 51.3 PPG on offense, while allowing 29.7 PPG against three opponents that don’t strike fear into most opponents (SMU, Sam Houston St, and Louisiana-Monroe).  Similarly, West Virginia will come in averaging 47.3 PPG while allowing 22.3 PPG.  Together these teams score 96.6 PPG.
West Virginia showed its inability to stop the pass, as they gave up 305 yards passing against a Maryland team that averages 187.2 yards passing per game and had only scored 7 points against lower division, William & Mary.  The Terrapins had two passing TDs of 42 and 56 yards against the Mountaineers.  Baylor comes in averaging 361.7 yards per game passing. Led by Senior, Nick Florence, the Bears will be able to pass the ball at will on West Virginia.  The Bears have 12 passing plays of 30 yards or more already this season, and have 11 scoring drives of less than 2 minutes.   Look for the Bears to strike quickly and often against a clearly mismatched Mountaineer secondary.  Despite being pass heavy, the Bears have been able to use the legs of Nick Florence and Jarred Salubi to 207 YPG making them tougher to defend against.
West Virginia will rely slightly more on their passing attack to move the ball.  While they don’t move the ball at the same clip as Baylor, they certainly don’t struggle moving the pylons.  Baylor, as mentioned, struggles to stop their opponents and nearly were upset by Louisiana-Monroe in a 47-42 victory.   Despite allowing 492.7 YPG, and 29.7 PPG, the Bears Defense has been opportunistic while forcing 10 turnovers in three games including two defensive touchdowns and another two that setup Baylor drives of 15 yards or less.  With their offense playing well they have managed to already be +6 in the turnover battle.  Similarly, the Mountaineer defense has done well to win the turnover battle by forcing 6, including one for a defensive TD, and with their offense only giving up the ball once, they maintain a +5 turnover margin.  To me, this will be the key as I look for the defenses, despite the near 1000 yards that will be gained today to setup short fields, and short time elapsed scoring drives that will only add to the total.  The final factor that makes this game one for the Over is with both teams speed, this game is being played on fieldturf.  The speed displayed at times will be incredible.  In fact, combined both teams have gone over the total in 28 of their last 39 games.  Enjoy this matinee, and take the Over as these teams will push 100 points.
Pick: Over 83.5

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Jason Storm
Free Pick
187-121-1 Overall Record
MLB Predictions: San Francisco Giants (-105) vs San Diego Padres (-105) Over Under 49
You should be nothing but impressed with the way Bruce Bochy and his squad have battled adversity. They have played the game the right way, rewarding previous performances with loyalty through difficult stretches, and shunning the cheating of one of their own.  Nothing exhibits Bochy’s loyalty of his team, and perhaps his understanding of their ability to produce, than the the way he handled struggles with Tim Lincencum this season.  Afer a loss against the Pirates, Lincecum had a 3-10 record with a 6.42 ERA, many fans were worried that the struggles of their “ace” could cost them the postseason.
Following their July 8th loss to the Pirates, the Giants sat 1/2 game behind the Dodgers.  Since that loss, Lincecum has gone 7-5 with 9 quality starts in 14 starts.  Certainly, not Cy Young numbers, but numbers that reflect to me that Bochy has had his team’s pulse understood the entire season.  Then on August 15th, Melky Cabrera was suspended for failing s drug test.   I was excited at the Dodgers chances to finally overtake the Giants.  Instead, they have gone 27-12 without him in their lineup, and are leaving him out of the playoffs even though he stands in a position to come back.  To me, this loud message, despite the years of Barry Bonds in San Fran, illustrates that this team is going to play the right way.  Most of the season, the Giants have been quietly relegated as the last team to miss the playoffs.
After all, when the Dodgers made some ill-advised, yet high profile acquisitions, many were ready to hand the Dodgers the division.  Much more focus has been placed on the Nationals, Braves, Reds, and many were just waiting for the Dodgers to take over the division.  Yet, they sit just three games back of the Reds and even with the Braves, and ten games in front of the Dodgers.  Though they most likely will be stuck without homefield advantage, with a 43-32 road record, don’t count the Giants out. This is a team that realizes the importance of finishing the season strong to avoid picking up the intensity in the playoffs.
The Padres have quietly put together a nice August and September.  Since fading to 52-70, they are 22-12 and 15-5 at home.  They seemed like a team with a chance at the NL West next season.  However, they are 3-6 in their last 9, all against NL West rivals.  Before their recent struggles they were a team that stood a slight chance of finishing at or just above .500 ball.  What once looked like a potential series in which the Padres could play spoiler, now has little significance.  With little meaning, and no shot of .500 ball this season, this is a team looking forward to starting their off-season relaxation from a long season.  I really see no motivation for the Padres to come out and play well this series.
Ryan Vogelsong will pitch today for the Giants.  The 6’4” righty, out of Kutztown,  is the first Golden Bear in the major leagues since Harry Hoch pitched three seasons in the early part of the 1900s (last season in 1915).  There’s some trivia knowledge to impress your friends with!  While Vogelsong has struggled away from the friendly confines of San Francisco, he is 2-1 with a 2.81 ERA this season in 3 starts against the Padres this season . In his last start out, he pitched six strong innings, allowing just one earned run in a 5-1 victory over the Padres in San Francisco.  The Padres will counter with the left-handed, rookie Andrew Werner.  Werner impressed in four quality starts to begin his MLB career, but has allowed five earned runs in his past two starts, including 5 in 3 2/2 against the Giants in his last outing.  I’m looking for similar starts out of both pitchers.   Look for the Giants to continue their recent dominance of the Padres as they are 21-8 in their last 29 against the Padres.  Take the Giants with the money line and enjoy a nice Friday win.
Pick: Giants -105

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274

Зап. Вирджиния - Бэйлор Бэаз 70:63 (14:14, 21:21, 21:7, 14:21)

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275

Jason Storm
Free Pick
189-121-1 Overall Record
NFL Predictions: Arizona Cardinals (-1) vs St Louis Rams (-1) Over Under 40
Lost in the well-documented struggles of certain NFL teams against division rivals (see Buffalo vs. New England last week), is the much less documented dominance of the Arizona Cardinals over the St. Louis Rams.  The Cards have won the last 7 meetings in St. Louis, going back to 2005. Perhaps the team that once resided in the St. Louis area has some magical home mojo residing from their previous stent in the Gateway to the West.

By now, unless you’ve been hiding in a library, you know the story on the Cardinals. Kevin Kolb and John Skelton enter the preseason in one of the most unsettled quarterback competitions, neither impresses, but Skelton gets the nod as the starter.  First game of the year, Skelton gets knocked out with an ankle injury, Kolb enters and leads the Cardinals to a victory with a 4th quarter comeback drive.   Quarterback competition over.  Or is it?  The Cardinals offense ranks 31st in Total Yards, and it took another, albeit impressive, fourth quarter drive by Kolb to force overtime, and the eventual 46 yard FG winner by Jay Feely.   Now, Skelton is closer to being healthy, and the pressure is on Kolb to continue to produce, even if unfair.  Skelton didn’t put up mind shattering numbers with a 35.1 QBR and 68.9 QB Rating while throwing 14 interceptions against 11 touchdowns last season, but he did have a 6-2 record as the starter.  Kolb doesn’t have to look far to see Ken Whisenhunt’s impatience with starters to know he’s on shaky ground even at 4-0 this season (see Matt Leinart, and Kolb).    Enter the St. Louis Rams defense into the equation. They struggle mightily against the rush, allowing 135.2 YPG.  However, the Cardinals don’t run the ball well as Beanie Wells and Ryan Williams average less than 3 yards/carry.  The Rams passing defense ranks slightly above average giving up 213.5 YPG, but they have already forced 8 INTs.  With the pressure Kolb is facing to do well tonight, look for the Rams to earn a couple picks.  Add the fact that Kolb was sacked eight times last week with a line that struggles to protect him, it could get ugly for Kolb.

The Cardinals on defense have had a bend but don’t break mentality.  While their total yards allowed ranks 17th, their points allowed at 15.2 PPG is currently 3rd best in the league.  However, they have benefited by playing a Seahawks team that only averages 17.5 PPG. They were fortunate to get the Patriots the week Aaron Hernandez was injured , as the Patriots struggled to find their offense until the 4th quarter.  With the reemergence of Wes Welker as a priority target for Brady, you have to be drinking some serious Kool-Aid to think the Cardinals would have held the Patriots to the total they did.  Against the Eagles, it was costly turnovers that cost Vick and company the game. The Eagles’ turnover woes have been well documented, and have more to do with Vick than with the Cards. While, the Cardinals do have an opportunistic defense, it is only a matter of time before the bend breaks a little.  The Rams don’t make anyone shudder on offense.  At 287 YPG, they rank 27th in total offense.  Offensively, this isn’t a team that is going to break the Cardinals bend.  However, they are a team with a defense that will set up a short field for scores.  This is the type of game that Jeff Fisher led teams are known for, low scoring, defensive battles where turnovers and key offensive plays lead to victory.  Look for the Rams to get above .500 with a team victory tonight over the Cardinals as Arizona isn’t as good as their 4-0 record and the Rams will be out to prove it.  I almost took the under here tonight, but with the turnovers, this game could end up with a higher score than both offenses would indicate they are capable of.

Pick: Rams +1

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276

Сент-Луис-Аризона  итог 17:3

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277

Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers: FREE MLB Playoff Picks
IN: MLB FREE PICKS
5Oct2012
Jason Storm
Free Pick
190-121-1 Overall Record
MLB Predictions: Baltimore Orioles (+175) vs Texas Rangers (-185) Over – Under 9
The fact that the Orioles are in this position is simply amazing. The Baltimore Orioles ended the regular season with a record of 93-64 securing a playoff berth for the first time in 15 years! It’s an incredibly feat that they are in this position. This season would of been completely different if they weren’t able to win the close games. The Orioles were 16-2 in extra inning games this year! They were 29-9 in 1 run games. AMAZING! To show just how impressive that it, not only is it the best mark in baseball, but the record for the 2nd best team in extra inning games was the Oakland As with a 11-5 record. That is a 20% more wins. The Giants were the 2nd best team in MLB in 1 run games with a 30-20 record, 60% win percentage compared to the O’s 76% win percentage of 1 run games. Remarkable.
The Orioles scored 712 runs this season, and allowed 705 runs. They outscored opponents by 7 runs on the entire year. According the MLB.com, the expected record for a team with that ratio is 82-80. Yet the Orioles were much better than that. Again, allowing me to illustrate how impressive that is; The Orioles ended the regular season with same record as their opponent today, the Texas Rangers. The Rangers outscored opponents by 101 runs over the season!
The Orioles defied all odds and stats to be in position and if that wasn’t enough. Baltimore Orioles ended the season in September going 20-11. This is despite 4 starters being out, and most of them for the majority of the season. Brian Robert, Nick Markakis, Nolan Reimold, and Wilson Betemit all ended the season on the DL. This is 2 starting infielders and 2 starting outfielders.
Baltimore send’s Joe Saunders to the mound in the first ever One and Done MLB Wild Card round playoff game. Saunders has been impressive of late, in his last 3 starts, he has pitched 21.1 innings with an ERA of 2.91. He has just 9 strike outs but 0 walks over those games. What should be noted is Saunders inability to pitch in Arlington. He host a 9.38 ERA in his last 6 starts there. However, that is somewhat telling and misleading. Allow me to explain.
Saunders hasn’t pitched against the Rangers since 2010 when he was with the Angels. In that game, he was good allowing just 1 run in 7 innings. An effort the Orioles hope he can duplicate today. So he has shown he has had success there but he hasn’t faced them in 2 years which is why some would say his struggles in Arlington are insignificant. However, in 2009 he faced the Rangers 3 times in TX as a starter, he allowed 20 runs in less than 12 innings pitched. The reason I say this matters, it shows that you can really get lit up by this team in this stadium as a pitched to contact hitter that Saunders is. This Rangers line up is arguable the best in baseball, and allowing too many bats to contact the ball in this very hitter friendly stadium is a recipe for disaster.
Although one of the biggest advantages that Saunders has is he hasn’t pitched against the Rangers in over 2 years. The longer it is, the more advantage it is for the pitcher.
That is the Orioles advantage until you consider the Orioles have never ever faced the Rangers starter today, Yu Darvish finished the season 16-9 record and ERA just under 4. However he’s been better of late pitching over 57 innings allowing just 15 runs. Thats a 2.53 ERA over 8 starts. He gets to face a depleted, very ordinary offense of Baltimore. Not only that he is 10-2 in his home starts this season. Given that the Orioles never seen him before, they may figure him out too late.
The bottom line its obvious the Rangers are the much better team, particularly offensively. I believe the the better team, which is playing at home will win this game. We also know if the Orioles don’t lose 1 run games, so I am taking the Rangers on the Run line.
Pick: Texas Rangers -1.5 Runline +115

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278

Техас-Балтимор 1:5

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279

Georgia vs South Carolina: Free College Football Picks
IN: COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PICKS
6Oct2012
Jason Storm
Free Pick
190-122-1 Overall Record
College Football Predictions: Georgia Bulldogs (+1) vs South Carolina Gamecocks (-185) Over – Under 53.5
When I saw the Georgia Bulldog at South Carolina Gamecocks on the schedule, I saw what could be potentially one of the five biggest matchups of the year.   The Gamecocks came into the preseason ranked #9 in the country, well the Bulldogs were ranked #6.  It’s hard to say that two teams ranked in the top 6 could be disappointments, especially when both teams are undefeated.  However, outside of LSU and USC, no preseason top 10 team is looked at with as much skepticism as both clubs.  In fact, ESPN recently featured an article on how overrated Georgia is as a team.  An article that has made the locker room walls for sure. My only response to the ESPN article, is outside of perhaps Alabama and Oregon, every team in the Top 10 have glaring weaknesses.  With Notre Dame, it’s an offense that only scored 13 points off of 6 turnovers.  LSU has struggled with inconsistency as they sneaked by Auburn and a team from the FCS division, Towson. West Virginia has a mighty offense, but a defense that allowed 63 points in a victory against Baylor, including a total which hopefully you busted your bookie last week with from my free release.  The fact that both of these teams are 5-0,and are criticized for their play, shows how high expectations are for both squads.
The weaknesses for Georgia and South Carolina are on the opposite sides of the field.  That’s what makes this meeting intriguing.  Will the high powered Georgia Bulldog offense, averaging 48.2 PPG be able to move the ball against a defense that has allowed 11.2 PPG.  Some, have unfairly criticized South Carolina’s offense.  However, they average 409 YPG and 36.6 PPG.  The main criticism though is a propensity for fumbling the football as they have lost 6 balls on the turf.  One big question mark for Georgia during their preseason was their offensive line.  The have answered the call loud.  As a team, the Bulldogs average 6.2 yards/carry rushing and 248.8 YPG.  Todd Gurley, Keith Marshall, and Ken Malcome combine to create a trip threat that has averaged 7.8 yards/carry. The line has allowed 7 sacks this season, but only two in their last three games.  They will need to prevent pressure of Quarterback, Aaron Murray.  South Carolina has one of the best defensive lines in all the country with 23 sacks to date, led by Jadeveon Clowney with 5 sacks.  If the Bulldogs can keep South Carolina under their 4.6 sacks per game average, a victory will be in grasp.
For the Gamecocks, Connor Shaw and Marcus Lattimore spell most of their offense at more than 2/3 of their yards gained.  The rushing attack hasn’t been as prolific, averaging 4.3 yards/carry.  However, they are able to steadily move the ball rushing almost 40 times per game.  The pass is used to keep the defense honest.  Georgia’s biggest struggle on defense has been against the pass while allowing just 3.7 yards/carry.  Unlike in previous years, the Gamecocks have some decent threats in their passing game with Bruce Ellington and Damiere Byrd, as well as Lattimore coming out of the backfield on screens and check down passes.  This will be a key matchup in today’s game.
Despite all the matchups, the biggest key of the game will be red-zone drives.  The Bulldogs average a TD on 81% of their redzone drives, the Gamecocks allow just 25% of Red Zone drives to end in a TD.  I see a balanced Georgia offense keeping the Gamecocks off balance, resulting in some valuable points in the end zone.
Some looked for the line to move another point in favor of South Carolina with the loss of star Wide Receiver, Michael Bennett to a torn ACL in practice on Tuesday.  However, Malcom Mitchell, who originally started at cornerback and will be moved back to wide receiver, is a very capable receiver.  Add the fact that Tavarres King and Marlon Brown have  been good, big targets for Aaron Murray, and the Bulldogs shouldn’t miss a beat on offense despite missing Bennett.   In fact, despite the loss of Bennett, the line has moved towards the Bulldogs and stands at -1.
For me the key will be a Georgia offense that comes out at the gun shooting, while averaging over 12 points in the first quarter.  The Gamecocks, on the other hand struggle to get started, averaging less than 6 points each first quarter.  While they’ve had the advantage to start slow, against Georgia, even with a great defense, they haven’t faced an offense like the Bulldogs.  Georgia leads the all-time series 45-16-2, but are just 4-3 against South Carolina since Steve Spurrier took over in 2005.  Oddly enough, the Bulldogs are 2-1 in Columbia.  This game means more for South Carolina as they still have road games at LSU and Florida.   Georgia gets the benefit of not having to face LSU, and gets Florida at a neutral site.  Meaning that even with a loss, the Bulldogs would still have a legitimate shot at the SEC East.  A Gamecock loss, and it’s almost assured that they will lose at least one, if not both, on the road against LSU and Florida.  Look for a loose Bulldog club to jump to an early lead, and to never look back.  Take the underdog, Bulldogs at +1 or better in the game of the week.
Pick: Georgia +1

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280

Jason Storm
Free Pick
190-123-1 Overall Record
MLB Playoff Predictions: St Louis Cardinals (+105) vs Washington Nationals (-105) Over – Under 7.5
Wednesday’s Game #3 between the Cardinals and the Nationals will determine the eventual series winner.  The Cardinals enter tonight’s matchup having finished the regular season 12-4,  including two series victories to finish the season against the Nationals and Reds.  After their controversial victory over Atlanta, which by rule the umpires actually got the call right, the Cardinals have looked like the better team in St. Louis in the first two games.  However, the Nationals were able to steal game one with a bloop opposite field single by a dead, pull hitter.   These two ball clubs finished the season first and second and run differential.  However, the Cardinals finished a full 6 games behind their Expected Win Loss Record.  Mostly because of a 21-26 record in one run ball games and a 6-12 record in extra innings.  Together both teams finished as the second and fifth highest scoring offenses in the league.  The Nationals did a lot of their damage by the long ball, averaging 1.2 home runs per game.  The Cardinals almost averaged one home run per game, but did the bulk of their damage with the second highest batting average in the league.  The Cardinals have looked impressive in the postseason, scoring almost 7 runs per game so far.  As much as their offense has been impressive, it has been their pitching that has been most impressive.  In their last 20 games, they have not allowed more than 4 runs in any game that finished in nine innings (allowed more than 4 in two extra inning games).
The Nationals, despite leading the league in pitching during the regular season, have not been impressive since shutting down Stephen Strasburg.  Their pitching has allowed 5 runs or more in ten of 26 ballgames,  going 14-12 in that same stretch.  Edwin Jackson was responsible for three of those starts, as he finished the season 1-4, including a 7.92 ERA in September.  He did look good in his last start out, but that was against a Philly club looking forward to the postseason break.  During September he saw his ERA climb from 3.52 to over 4 at 4.13.  On September 8th, Jackson was absolutely shelled, allowing 9 runs in 1 1/3 inning against the Cardinals.  If recent performance is indicative of tonight’s game,  the Nationals are going to need to put up an impressive offensive total to avoid being down in the series.  Against the Nationals, the Cardinals have scored 10 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 games.  If that stat doesn’t send shivers or at least a resounding message that they will be scoring a lot of runs in this series, nothing will.
Despite their offensive production during the season, the Nationals have failed to score more than 4 runs in 5 of their last 6 against the Cardinals.  Only a 10 inning victory where they scored two in the 10th inning broke up the streak.  Enter Chris Carpenter, back just in time for another miraculous Cardinals playoff run.  Despite an 0-2 record in three starts to end the series, he had two quality starts, and allowed 3 or less runs in all three of his starts.  Of course, if Carpenter’s playoff form is anything like his 4-0 form from last season.  It will be lights out for the Nationals.  The Nationals start Ross Detwiler in game 4, who comes in with an 11.57 ERA against the Cardinals this season.  If the Nationals can somehow get to the game 5, Gio Gonzales awaits.  However, I don’t see the Nationals making it that far.  It’s important to note that the Nationals are 5-14 with Joe West behind the plate, although no reason sticks out for why.  Also, Chris Carpenter historically saves his best stuff for good teams, as the Cardinals are 12-3 in Carpenters starts against teams with a winning record.  The Cardinals win today, and they will complete the four game series victory on Thursday evening.  Take the Money line with the Cards today!
Pick: Cardinals +105

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