Jason Storm
Free Pick
191-123-1 Overall Record
MLB Playoff Predictions: San Francisco Giants (+120) vs St Louis Cardinals (-130) Over – Under 7

All season I have mentioned how the loyalty of Bruce Bochy has inspired the San Francisco Giants to play.  All season long, pundits waited for the Giants to take their supposed placing behind the overspending, and poor managed Los Angeles Dodgers.  Bochy always has had a grasp of which buttons to push despite injuries to key players as well as the suspension of Melky Cabrera.  When he began hinting at Tim Lincecum as the Game 4 starter, I immediately thought he was overreacting to Bumgarner’s two previous post-season starts.  However, as I contemplated the move, I reflected on how ineffective Bumgarner’s 5.47 ERA in September was, and comments from both and and Bochy about the lack of life in his pitches.  The realization sunk in, this series, and the Giants season was over.  After all, Bochy stuck with Vogelsong in Game 2 despite his struggles going back even farther than Bumgarner’s.  Vogelsong’s four hit, one earned run outing temporarily left me thinking the Giants could pull this series off.  However, Game 3 was a HUGE loss, and the last shot the Giants at the series win.

The Cardinals bring in a lineup that is 38-17 against left-handed pitching, including 1-0 in the series. Any Nationals fans remember a lefty who struggled in two starts against the Cardinals?  The Cardinals hit .276 against lefties in the regular season, a full 6 points higher than their average against righties.  Bochy is left resting the Giants’ hopes on the left-handed arms of Lincecum and Barry Zito.  As loyal as Bochy has been to Lincecum this season, despite his struggles, this isn’t a move that he is making because he suddenly is inspired in Lincecum’s performance.  Rather, it’s his realization that Bumgarner is done.  Look for an offensive fest typical of the Cardinals as they will be paced by Allen Craig, 5th in OPS in the NL against lefties this season. Yadier Molina who has struggled during the postseason should have a nice start as he was .342 against lefties, and owns a .412 batting average in 17 career at-bats against Lincecum.  (A Tim Lincecum that had a much better arm than he does now).

Adam Wainwright will look to bounce back from his Game 5 start against the Nationals.  Look for him to do well as he owns a 2.18 ERA this season in two starts against the Giants.  While it would be easy to use his last start as a measuring stick of his performance tonight, remember he struggled in a start at Washington on August 31st giving up a identical 6 earned runs in less than 3 innings of work.  The truth is Wainwright has struggled on the road this season with a 4.20 ERA.  He will look much more like his normal playoff self at home.

If the Giants can somehow make it to Game 6 with one win from either aging former superstars, they could still pull this series out. However, the fact remains this series is going 5, and the Cardinals, to many people’s chagrin, will represent the National League again in the World Series.  Their fourth World Series appearance in the last nine years.

The Cardinals Moneyline is the play tonight.

Pick: Cardinals -130

Jason Storm
Free Pick
192-123-1 Overall Record
MLB Playoff Predictions: San Francisco Giants (+145) vs St Louis Cardinals (-155) Over – Under 7.5
The inevitable end of the San Francisco Giants season is on the horizon. As I reiterated last night, in an easy win with the Cardinals, there was a white flag waived by Bruce Bochy when he started Tim Lincecum.  I don’t think he necessarily meant to say to his club it’s time to lay down and die, but he had enough foresight to know that his team had a better chance with Lincecum than Madison Bumgarner.  It’s unfortunate that the Giants starting pitching isn’t at it’s peak.  This would have been a great series if their starters were at full strength.  Make no mistake, the Cardinals field an offense that is impressive, but they’ve been able to feast on arms that aren’t 100%.

As I wrote yesterday, the Cardinals bring in a lineup that is 38-17 against left-handed pitching, including 1-0 in the series. Any Nationals fans remember a lefty who struggled in two starts against the Cardinals?  The Cardinals hit .276 against lefties in the regular season, a full 6 points higher than their average against righties.  Bochy is left resting the Giants’ hopes on left-handed Barry Zito. Look for another offensive fest typical of the Cardinals as they will be paced by Allen Craig, 5th in OPS in the NL against lefties this season.  Craig hits extremely well against Zito going .400 with 3 home runs in just 10 at-bats against Zito. It was huge for Yadier Molina, who hits Tim Lincecum well (.412 before last nights game), to get rolling going 2 for 4.   It took a great play by Angel Pagan to keep him from going 3 for 4.  Look for Molina to have another quality offensive performance as he owns a .375 average against Zito, and .342 this season against lefties this season.

The key in tonight’s matchup will be the performance of Lance Lynn.  In game 1, he couldn’t escape the fourth inning against the Giants.  As I wrote last night,  Adam Wainwright would pitch much better than his game 5 ALDS start against the Nationals.  The key is being at home.  Lance Lynn was impressive this season at home, going 9-4 with a 3.28 ERA.  That being said, he can’t be counted for more than 5 innings.   The last time he pitched 5 innings was September 30th, and I believe that was part of his ineffectiveness against the Giants in Game 1 as he looked better the first three innings.   How will the Cardinals bullpen handle a game in what will most likely lack a quality start.  If their postseason form is any clue, quite well.  They have a 2.29 ERA this postseason, and are arguably the Cardinals MVP this season.  See game 5 of the NLDS and game 1 of the NLCS.  If you throw out the 2 runs allowed by Fernando Salas in what were meaningless innings,  the bullpen ERA is 1.92.  Who scores the first run tonight will be huge.  The Giants don’t have any pressure on them tonight.  The Cardinals NEED to win to keep up with the Tigers.  Even with the Cardinals having Chris Carpenter and Kyle Lohse for game 6,  they really want to be able to throw them in Games 1 and 2 as they NEED to have Carpenter and Lohse throw four of the seven starts to have a shot at the series against the Tigers.  I see Lynn having a good first two innings, and the Cardinals taking advantage of Barry Zito and not looking back.

If the Giants can somehow make it to Game 6 with one win from either aging former superstars, they could still pull this series out. However, the fact remains this series is going 5, and the Cardinals, to many people’s chagrin, will represent the National League again in the World Series.  The Cardinals win again big tonight.  I have to make a confession, due to time constraints I sometimes have to release my plays before odds come out.  That is the case mostly in the postseason as Vegas attempts to avoid getting hit hard.  Last night the cardinals were only -130 favorites, when they easily should have been -170 or more.  As you know, at -160 you have to win 61.5% of the time, just to break even.  That’s why you will rarely see me put a play at -160 or higher as it’s just poor bankroll management.  That being said, -155 with the Cards is the right play!

Pick Cardinal -155

Jason Storm
Free Picks
192-123-1 Overall Record
College Football Predictions: Michigan St. (+9.5) vs. Michigan (-9.5) Over – Under 43
One of the greatest aspects of College Football is the story lines that unfold throughout the season.  Everyone remembers Denard Robinson’s tough to watch season opening performance versus the Alabama Crimson Tide and the all-out social media attack that Robinson endured from a few Michigan State players via Twitter, which makes the anticipation for this game even greater.  Michigan State’s coach Mark Dantonio has tried his best to bury all of his team’s extracurricular activities in the past, but it would be hard to imagine that Robinson and the rest of the Wolverines have moved on from the embarrassment.
Fortunately for Michigan, they are facing a Michigan State team that began the 2012 campaign ranked among the top 15 teams in the nation, but losses suffered at the hands of Notre Dame, Ohio State, and Iowa has brought the Spartans back down to Earth.  Denard Robinson has not been able to get a win versus the Spartans in his time at Michigan, but this just feels like it could be his year to get the job done.  The Wolverines are coming off of a 45-0 victory over Illinois a week ago, while the Spartans are right on the heels of an overtime loss to the Iowa Hawkeyes.
Now the Spartans have taken four straight over the Wolverines, but the Spartans happen to be 0-4 against the spread in their last 4 games following an against the spread loss and 0-5 against the spread in their last 5 games overall.  Those numbers won’t exactly inspire confidence in bettors and they shouldn’t.  In fact, Michigan State’s only victories have come against Boise State, Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan, and Indiana, which means the Spartans only 1-2 versus Big Ten competition.
The Wolverines on the other hand, have bounced back nicely from that 41-14 embarrassment they suffered at the hands off Alabama and their only other setback was a tightly contested game versus Notre Dame.  The Wolverines are 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 home games and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.  Defense has been an important aspect of the Wolverine’s recipe for success as they have only allowed more than 20 points to their opponents twice this season.
All in all, you have got to take the team that is playing better football over the team that has been struggling no matter what the previous head to head statistics may indicate.  All streaks have to come to an end eventually so expect for the Wolverine’s to end up on the winning side of this matchup for the first time in a long time.  It doesn’t hurt that the Spartans issued bulletin board material at the beginning of the season, either.
Pick: Michigan -9.5

Aризона-Миннесота 14:21+++

Jason Storm
Free Picks
193-124-1 Overall Record
NFL Predictions: Detroit Lions (+7) vs. Chicago Bears (-7) Over-Under 47
Given some of the offseason moves that took place in the NFC North Division this offseason, especially with the moves Chicago made, we would have expected a shootout with a lot more on the line before the season started. The addition of Brandon Marshall has for the Bears has helped the Bear offense, but their best offensive performances have come in games versus teams like Indianapolis and Jacksonville.  The Chicago schedule has not been very difficult through five games of the season, but a good performance versus Detroit would be a good barometer to indicate whether these Bears are for real.
The Lions possess a 2-3 record on the season, but their losses came in week 2 versus San Francisco when they looked like the best team in the league, a week 3 overtime loss to Tennessee, and a week 4 loss to the resurgent Minnesota Vikings.  The Lions have certainly played a tougher schedule than the Bears, so expect for this game to be closer than most people would expect.  Detroit is coming off of a gutsy come from behind win in overtime over the Philadelphia Eagles for their second win of the season, while Chicago has breezed through a weaker schedule.
One bad omen for these Bears, is the fact that they are 2-5-1 against the spread in their last 8 games after accumulating 250 yards passing in their previous outing.  The Bears went into Jacksonville and left with a 41-3 victory picking up 287 yards through the air in the process.  Another bad omen for Chicago is the fact that Detroit ranks 5th in the NFL in passing defense, allowing only 228 passing yards per game this season.
It’s no secret that Chicago needs to be able to effectively move the ball through the air to be effective, but the Lions have the talent on defense to limit their success.  Chicago is coming out of their bye week going against a division rival, but I expect for Detroit to be cover despite the 1-4 record against the spread this season.  The Lions are poised to turn this season around, which has been widely considered a disappointment to this point, and a win over
Chicago is a great place to start.
If Detroit can get pressure on Jay Cutler with their front four, their task of defeating the Bears will be made slightly easier.  The Bears have already struggled protecting their quarterback giving up 14 sacks through 5 games, so there is no reason to think the Lions won’t get it done.  Even though Chicago is number 1 in their division, they aren’t the clear cut top team in that division, and I expect the Lions to expose the Bears on Monday Night Football.
Pick: Detroit +7

Notre Dame vs Oklahoma: FREE College Football Picks
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27Oct2012
Free Picks
193-125-1 Overall Record
College Football Predictions: Notre Dame (+12.5) vs. Oklahoma (-12.5) Over-Under 48
The Fighting Irish have not faced off with the Sooners since the matchup that took place in South Bend in 1999 and ended with a Notre Dame victory.  This time around the teams will square off in Norman, Oklahoma with the Sooners viewed as a heavy favorite over Notre Dame by every sports book available.  Many experts have questioned whether the Fighting Irish are a legitimate BCS contender, but their resume to this point of the season should have been enough to gain a little respect from odds makers in their matchup with Oklahoma.
For years, each player to suit up for Notre Dame has participated in the famous ritual of placing their hands on a sign above the exit that leads to the field that reads “Play Like A champion Today,” and for years that ritual has been meaningless.  Now, the Fighting Irish believe that they have the players to make championship efforts on the football field and they have proven that belief to be true up to this point with their results on the field.  Notre Dame is not only 7-0, but they have wins over Michigan State, Michigan, Miami and Stanford already this season, and if they can get past Oklahoma they should breeze through the remaining games on their schedule until they face USC on November 24th.
Notre Dame has struggled to live up to the heavy burden of carrying on a legendary football legacy over the past decade, but this Fighting Irish team is finally playing the type of football that would even make Knute Rockne proud.  Notre Dame is 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game and 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.  The Fighting Irish should cover this large spread relatively easy.
Oklahoma comes into this matchup ranked number 7 in the country and are currently riding the wave of a three game winning streak. The Sooners did lose September 22 at the hands of Kansas State but Oklahoma’s last three wins have been by an average of 36 points per game.  That does not mean that Oklahoma will enjoy the same type of cakewalk victory over the Fighting Irish, though.
In fact, I would expect for a tightly contested game that will provide plenty drama for onlookers around the country, so anticipate the defenses from both teams to put their mark on this game throughout.  Oklahoma is 2-5 against the spread in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.  Don’t expect for the Sooners to run away with this game to cover the 12.5 point spread versus the number 5 team in the Nation.
Pick: Notre Dame +12.5

28Oct2012
Jason Storm
Free Picks
194-125-1 Overall Record
NFL Predictions: Oakland (+1) vs. Kansas City (-1) Over-Under 42
Whether the average football fan believes this or not, there was time when the Raiders and Chiefs matchup carried heavy weight when the AFC West Division standings were decided.  Over recent years this game has carried less importance, but each game is still defined by the same intense level of hatred between the two franchises.  Any longtime NFL football fan over age forty would appreciate the significance of a clash between the Raiders and Chiefs, and this game should fall right in line with the long history of closely decided games in this rivalry.
Interestingly, the Chiefs are 0-3 at home, but the Raiders are winless on the road with an 0-3 record as the visiting team, as well.  Obviously, something has to give and many of the odds makers are giving bettors the option of picking a winner with no spread at all.  Very few people in America are doing extensive research on a matchup between the third and fourth place teams in a weak division like the AFC West, but there are some trends that indicate that this game could potentially be easy money for sharp bettors everywhere.
Kansas City’s lone victory came on the road versus the New Orleans Saints in a game that went into overtime. The same Saints that have seen their defensive unit decimated by suspensions in connection with the “Bounty-Gate” scandal, and the Chiefs were able to take advantage by putting up their best offensive performance scoring 27 points in the process.  In the Chiefs other five games, which were all losses, the Chiefs averaged only 15.4 points per game.
The Raiders, on the other hand, have struggled versus strong running attacks, and Kansas City features Peyton Hillis and Jamal Charles in their backfield.  Fortunately, for the Raiders the Chiefs have decided to name Brady Quinn as their starter over Matt Cassel, which will likely make the Chiefs one dimensional.  Oakland has many different players in their rotation on their frontline, so they will be able to make ample substitutions versus a team that will likely run the ball often.
The Raiders are 4-1 against the spread in road games versus teams with losing home records and 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.  The Chiefs are 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games versus teams with losing records and the Raiders are 6-0 against the spread in their last 6 visits to Kansas City.  Look for the Raiders to put on a strong performance to gain some ground in the AFC West division.
Pick: Raiders +1

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Jason Storm
Free Picks
194-125-1 Overall Record
NFL Predictions: Miami Dolphins (+1) vs. New York Jets (-1) Over-Under 38
Listen to the pregame chatter between the Dolphins and Jets, and it’s certain, Rex Ryan and company would like to breathe fear into Reggie Bush and the rushing attack of the Dolphins.  Why?  The reason is clear.  They know, that Ryan Tannehill is a better quarterback than he was in Maimi’s week 3 loss to the Jets.  The Jets, well, they struggle against the rush, allowing 147.4 YPG, the 30th worst rushing total in the league.  The Dolphins during that week three loss gained 185 yards on the ground,  while Tannehill struggled, completing less than 50% of his passes, and throwing one interception.  The Jets realize this, and they know that if they can’t control the Dolphins rushing attack,  they will have no answer to the their offense.    In fact, last week against the Rams, Tannehill and the passing offense was all that they had as the Dolphins were limited to 36 yards rushing.  It would be easy to point fingers at the lack of a rushing offense against the 11th best rushing defense this season.  However, keep in mind that the Rams have faced three of the top 10 rushing offenses in the league (Redskins, Bears, and Seahawks).  Their rushing defense, as exhibited by their performance is better than their current league ranking.  How, can the Jets stop the Dolphins, the answer is simple, fear.
Tomorrow’s weather, before Sandy hurricane comes nearer, shows wind and rain,  which accounts for the total being so low.  The truth is, in a normal weak, this total would be higher.  The over would be a good bet if the weather wasn’t supposed to affect play.  That being said, the Jets will need to win one of two ways, either Shonn Greene will need to have a bigger day, or Mark Sanchez will need to lead them to victory.  Problem is, Greene will be asked to do more of the work as his backups  Bilal Powell and Joe McKnight are injured.  Greene,  not listed on injury reports, may not be full speed himself after a few hard hits against the Patriots looked to have rung his bell.  So, can the Jets rely on Mark Sanchez to lead them to victory?    If current form is any use, the clear answer is no, as he has thrown interceptions in 5 of 7 weeks, and threw two against the Dolphins in week 3.  With the wind, and a lack of promise of a notable rushing attack against a stout Dolphins rush defense, it’s not likely that Sanchez will lead them to the win.  Look for the Dolphins to limit Tim Tebow’s effect of rushing the ball as well when he is in play.
Finally, Vegas overvalues the home team in this series with the Dolphins going 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 road games in New York,  and the road team is 8-3-1 overal in the series.  Give Reggie Bush and the Dolphins credit as they have dismissed much of the talk of Ryan demanding an apology from Bush to injured star, Darrelle Revis.  Given that in the end, the game rests on the performance of Mark Sanchez leading the Jets to victory, I’ll take the Dolphins and the point.  Look for Miami to improve to 4-3 today with a victory.
Pick: Miami +1

jinis
Да Я чёт не посмотрел ящик вовремя,просто не думал,что 2матч пришлёт!