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College Basketball Predictions: Kansas State (-11) vs.Texas Tech (+11)
Bruce Weber was fired after 9 years at Illinois. During that time he accumulated a overall record of 210-101 and took Illinois to the dance 6 out of 9 years. Now at Kansas State, he once again inherits a veteran and talented team, just like he did at Illinois  Remember in Weber’s first year at Illinois he took them to the Sweet 16, and in his 2nd year they were National Champion runner ups. Weber knows how to get the talented guys to buy into his system.
Kansas St comes into this game 17-4. but only 2-2 in its last 4. Kansas State has really taken care of lesser opponents. 3 of their 4 losses were against the best competition. #3 Michigan, #5 Kansas #6 Gonzaga. Maybe it’s clear KState isn’t a top 5 team but they are ranked 13th and with rival Kansas taking an unexpected loss to Ok St, the Wild cats are in a position to make a move for the Big 12 crown. KState did get a Big win in their last game at Oklahoma, and tonight they get to face lowly Texas Tech.
It’s really not a question of whether Kansas State is going to win this game, more of a question by how much. Vegas set the line at 11 and normally agree that’s a solid line, but Kansas’ recent loss will be extra motivation for KState. They will be looking to make a blow out statement, certainly after just a 2 point victory in their last game. They are more than capable.
Kstate may have the best all around player in the Big 12. Rodney McGruder does everything. He shoots extremely well, rebounds and plays defense. He was the Big12 2nd leading scorer a season ago, and although under Weber, his offensive numbers are slightly down, averaging 14.5 points a game this year. His assist are up, and he is the best player on the floor in this matchup and expect him to have a big game.
However we are going to cover this big spread because of Weber’s defense. Kstate was 64th in scoring defense last year. This year they are 18th. They are just dominating perimeter defense. Kstate hold opponents to just .288 3 point shooting, 17th best. They are also going to win the turnover battle in this game. We have the better team that doesn’t turn it over often but forces opponents into a bunch of them, they are +2.8 in the turnover margin per game. Then you have Texas Tech who turns it over 16 times a game, and actually has a negative turnover ratio.
We have a motivated Wild Cat team, and they will force turnovers that will cover the big spread.
Pick: Kansas State -11
Tags: College Basketball Picks, Kansas State,

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