Jason Storm
Free Picks
157-104-1 Overall Record
Pro Baseball Predictions: St Louis Cardinals (+160) vs. Miami Marlins (-170) Over -Under 7
The MLB Season kicks off today. Well, not really, we are actually 2 games into the regular season. The Seattle Mariners and the Oakland Athletics actually played 2 games over in Japan last week. There was little hype about it, but now we can start to get excited.
Tonight on ESPN the New look Miami Marlins, Yes I said Miami Marlins not the Florida Marlins will debut their new stadium versus the St Louis Cardinals. You should tune in just to see what a beauty Marlins Park really is. This isn’t your dad’s baseball stadiums, this is beautiful! Even features a  450-gallon aquariums behind home plate!
Being early in the season, I thought I would give you guys the projected lineups for tonight’s game. As always with baseball there was a ton of player movement and its hard to keep up with. This will give you some idea of the teams player movements
St Louis Cardinals: Rafael Furcal, Jon Jay, Matt Holliday, Lance Berkman, Carlos Beltran, David Freese, Yadier Molina, and Tyler Green.
Miami Marlins: Jose Reyes, Emilio Bonifacio, Hanley Ramirez, Giancarlo Stanton, Logan Morrision, Gaby Sanchez, John Buck, and Omar Infante.
Remember that these are just the projected started and are not official. Its only done to help you see some player movement as we start a new MLB Season.
With Baseball its the starting pitching that’s most important as that is the biggest influence on the lines.
Florida starts ace Josh Johnson while St Louis sends Kyle Lohse to the mound. It’s really unfortunate that Chris Carpenter had some off season setbacks. We would of been in for a great pitching duel for opening night.
However, I fully expect Josh Johnson to do his part. Johnson was injured last year, but seems to have fully recovered by his outstanding Spring Training numbers. Johnson allowed only 6 runs over 22 and 1/3rd innings. That is a very encouraging mark.
With Johnson, I want to see his strikeout numbers. Johnson is one of the best young pitchers in baseball even if you are unaware of that. He has great stuff and has a great strikeout to walk ratio. This spring in just 22 innings he had 24 K’s and just 10 BB. That’s what I want to see from the young star.
He should be excited to face this Pujols-less Cardinals team. He has a lot of history against 2 of St Louis most important offensive players. Rafael Furcal, a true leadoff man, is just 4 for 17 against Johnson lifetime. That’s a .235 average. Carlos Beltran is even worse, in 28 plate appearances, he has just 6 hits for a .214 average! Johnson has dominated these guys throughout his career.
However, here is the main reason I really like the Marlins tonight. Some pitchers love the early season, others hate it. You will hear me say this nearly everyday this month. Johnson loves pitching in April. Opponents batting average against Johnson is just .191 in the month of April in his career! Yes, batters are hitting less than .200 against him! Johnson has some of his best stuff in April, again that can be seen by his K – BB Ratio of 115K to just 38 walks in the month of April in his career.
The Cardinals don’t even have their ace to send out against the Marlins true ace. There is a reason this line is that big. Miami is looking to start this organization over with a win today. They have a new city, a new logo, and the best ballpark in the world. They are coming for this one and there is no reason to think they wont get it.
Pick: Miami Marlins -170

Ну что молчим,или нет знатоков МЛБ?

Про футбол сказал, теперь очередь бейса

Итак парень по всем раскладам прав - новый город, новый стадион, лучший (один из них) питчер ну все за то , что чемпам ничего сегодня не светит.

но это - первый матч и это бейсбол , я например начинаю ставить с матча 5-6 , когда более менее видно , с чем вступают команды в сезон

Я никогда не смотрю на кэф если уверен в матче - здесь уверенности нет и 1.55 маловато для риска первого матча, тем более сам автор анализа признался, что это  "только начало прогнозам и не являются официальными"

Вообщем я пропускаю

Согласен с Мica надо посмотреть пару матчей.Сегодня мне больше смотрится Сент-Луис,ставить не буду, пока понаблюдаю кто чем дышит.

SHTYR

Спасибо за работу - внимательно слежу , дело полезное

vadim1984

Спасибо за коммент

я думаю тот парень уже не прогнозит _или прогнозит где нить на маями-бич)))

какая стата на этот момент ?

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets: Free MLB Picks
IN: MLB FREE PICKS
5Apr2012
Jason Storm
Free Picks
157-105-1 Overall Record
Pro Baseball Predictions: Atlanta Braves (-105) vs. New York Mets (-105) Over -Under 7
These NL East Rivals start the season against each other. The Atlanta Braves are expected to compete with the for the division title, while the New York Mets are projected being the cellar dwellers of this much improved NL East.
Being early in the season, I thought I would give you guys the projected starting lineups for each team involved in this game. As always with baseball there was a ton of player movement and its hard to keep up with. This will give you some idea of the teams player movements.
Remember that these are just the projected started and are not official. Its only done to help you see some player movement as we start a new MLB Season.
New York Mets: Andres Torres, Daniel Murphy, David Wright, Ike Davis, Jason Bay, Lucas Duda, Josh Thole, Ruben Tejada.
Atlanta Braves: Michael Bourn, Martin Prado, Brian McCann, Dan Uggla, Freddie Freeman, Jason Heyward, Eric Hinske, and Tyler Pastornicky
Tommy Hanson was absolutely rocked by the Mets last year. He last just 8 innings in 2 outing last year. He allowed 10 earned runs off 13 hits and 4 home runs. Many of that was in his last outing which happened to be his last outing of the season last year.
He was pitching in New York, allowed 4 home runs in just 3.1 innings! He has had very little success in New York despite it was a pitchers park. In 4 starts he holds a 1-2 Win Lose record. He has allowed a batting average against of over .300, with an ERA of 5.85, which is by far his worst of any park in which he has more than 1 start.
The problem is its going to be even harder to pitch there now. Citi field was absolutely a pitchers park. Too much so that the Mets needed to make a change. The Mets have brought in the fence about 25 feet. They have lowered the wall to a uniformed 8 feet all around the stadium. You have to note this drastic change.
The Mets organization claim they would have hit 81 more home runs over the last 3 years if Citi Field had these same dimensions when it opened. That’s 27 more home runs a year, just by them. They also claim their opponents would hit 70 more home runs.
You have to respect that this ball park is going to be a much better hitters park, particularly for lefties.
All this makes me really like this over. Not to mention, Johan Santana is coming off a season which he has played none. Santana has made multiple shoulder surgeries and did play at all in the 2011 season. His fastball velocity is down to 91 MPH.
This isn’t the Santana that was one of the best in majors with the Twins. I expect him to struggle a bit in his first game since September 2nd 2010.
Pick: Over 7

157-105-1