Итог: 1:0, +3.5 единиц

The 1-10 unit system can be fine if properly used, which is rarely the case. Many of those who use this system do the terribly wrong thing of wagering 10 units only on bets which they believe have an extremely high probability of winning. As there is a close correlation between the odds offered on an event and the realistic chances of a certain outcome, finding a 2.05 odds bet with a winning probability of 70% is highly unlikely, which effectively means that such punters, who wager their biggest bets on the ones they are most sure about, either have a very poor perception of probabilities of match outcomes, or place their maximum bets only on bets with odds 1.4-1.5, which are the kind of odds rarely taken by quality punters. What was written above had the goal of pointing out why this way of staking is ridiculous, but the main problem with it is that it by no means increases your chances of winning on the long run, and definitely certainly should not be used. The other, way more acceptable version of the 1-10 units staking, is the one based on probabilities: the more advantage you have over the bookie on a particular bet, the more you should stake. This kind of strategy has been subject of heated debates in the worlds of economy and betting alike – whether or not it actually produces better results than flat betting is therefore very much debatable, but it’s a system that has a lot of common sense in it and should not be overlooked. However, there are two problems with this system: the first one is the punters’ ability to objectively determine the value present in a single bet. Making a long term profit and a yield of 107-108% is hard enough itself, while making a difference between the value of 7% and 14% is extremely difficult. Without any doubt, all punters make errors in estimations on countless occasions, and staking 10 units on a bet which you believe has 15% value in it but actually has only 5% will leave you badly bruised on the long run, especially as you will also definitely ending up taking some brilliant bets with two or three units. The second problem is of psychological nature. High-staked bets(9, 10 units, etc) leave the bettor under serious pressure – two consecutive 10 units bets that end up losing will can be a real mental hammer blow, while, as we explained in our previous article, one of the key thing in the business is to remain cool and confident at all times. To sum it up, this way of staking is recommended only for punters who can accurately determine the value(in ROI) present in their bets but also have a lot of patience and are not easily discouraged by losing runs – every punter who doesn’t fit into both of these criteria should consider another way of staking.

Еще тут можно почитать
http://forum.bettingadvice.com/showthread.php?t=34049
http://mgpicks.com/wp/?page_id=623

Отредактировано pavel14 (07.09.2014 01:07)